Economic analysis of the agricultural supply of commercial varieties of Peruvian potatoes

Abstract

This study aims to identify the most relevant variables that explain the economic offer of the Popa Solanum tuberosum, in its two varieties: modern and native, in the producers of the district of Huasahuasi, in the Junín department of Peru. The methodology used was the Monte Carlo Stochastic Simulation to assess the profitability and intrinsic risk of agricultural production in both types of supply. The results show that there is no significant difference in profitability and risk in these two varieties. The expected value of profitability, as well as the minimum and maximum value of this variable, for the case of the modern pope, are: S/. 9639, S/. -6290; and S/. 28476, respectively. In the case of the native potato, these values correspond to S/. 7240, S/. -3754; and S/. 24476. It was also possible to identify that producers offer a greater amount of modern potato compared to the native potato, since productivity per unit of land; and the area planted per producer, amount to 27 t.ha -1 and 16 t.ha -1 ; and 2.46 ha and 1.26 ha, for the modern and native potato, respectively. However, the effective purchase of intermediaries; and access to large markets are the most relevant variables in economic decision-making regarding the added potato offer in Huasahuasi. 

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